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Red34
708625.9
879511.7
878014.0
Blue45
902517.8
775821.6
809212.8
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50572030407080903445

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7086
#14
25.91.6
18.617.0
Auto3.5
Teleop13.4
End9.0
red by 4.4
21.60.8
18.217.4
Auto7.2
Teleop11.3
End3.1
Second
8780
#17
14.01.6
14.212.6
Auto2.6
Teleop6.4
End5.0
blue by 3.8
9025
#22
17.82.0
17.815.8
Auto7.9
Teleop7.1
End2.9
Third
8795
#43
11.71.6
15.413.8
Auto2.7
Teleop5.7
End3.3
blue by 1.1
8092
#24
12.80.8
17.716.8
Auto2.4
Teleop6.3
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
35%Activation oddsMissed38%Activation oddsMissed