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Red59
698921.0
601418.1
815113.8
Blue53
87549.0
902423.8
923319.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions585502040801001201405953

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.00.1
21.421.3
Auto6.5
Teleop8.2
End6.4
blue by 2.8
23.80.0
23.823.8
Auto6.2
Teleop11.1
End6.5
Second
18.10.1
18.218.1
Auto6.8
Teleop3.8
End7.5
blue by 0.9
19.00.0
19.019.0
Auto5.3
Teleop6.0
End7.8
Third
8151
#31
13.80.1
14.314.2
Auto3.4
Teleop4.6
End5.7
red by 4.8
8754
#37
9.00.0
9.09.0
Auto1.0
Teleop3.1
End4.9