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Red43
643628.1
728544.5
824020.1
Blue94
801521.4
907725.7
774822.9
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions108662040801001201401604394

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.51.6
45.744.1
Auto15.4
Teleop22.6
End6.4
red by 18.8
25.70.8
24.725.5
Auto5.3
Teleop10.6
End9.8
Second
28.11.6
29.327.7
Auto8.1
Teleop11.7
End8.3
red by 5.2
7748
#13
22.90.8
21.922.7
Auto10.4
Teleop8.6
End3.9
Third
8240
#30
20.11.6
21.319.7
Auto4.7
Teleop10.3
End5.0
blue by 1.4
8015
#24
21.40.8
20.521.3
Auto6.1
Teleop10.5
End4.8