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Red35
90958.4
886217.8
645919.6
Blue14
774822.9
90299.7
87548.7
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50520204060801003514

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6459
#12
19.61.3
16.214.9
Auto4.1
Teleop9.7
End5.8
blue by 3.3
7748
#13
22.94.4
16.712.3
Auto10.4
Teleop8.6
End3.9
Second
8862
#14
17.81.3
14.212.8
Auto5.7
Teleop8.9
End3.2
red by 8.1
9029
#29DQ
9.72.6
9.712.3
Auto1.5
Teleop4.1
End4.1
Third
9095
#42
8.46.9
8.415.3
Auto2.1
Teleop1.6
End4.7
blue by 0.2
8754
#43
8.74.4
15.210.8
Auto0.7
Teleop3.8
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
34%Activation oddsMissed35%Activation oddsMissed