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Red33
817323.2
87548.7
76839.4
Blue51
641512.9
643011.6
694023.2
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions425202060801001203351

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8173
#15
23.21.4
15.514.2
Auto9.9
Teleop5.8
End7.5
Level
23.21.8
16.915.1
Auto7.2
Teleop8.8
End7.1
Second
7683
#46
9.41.4
14.012.6
Auto0.5
Teleop3.9
End5.0
blue by 3.5
6415
#16
12.91.8
15.713.8
Auto2.0
Teleop6.2
End4.6
Third
8754
#43
8.71.4
10.89.4
Auto0.7
Teleop3.8
End4.2
blue by 3.0
6430
#35
11.61.8
14.913.1
Auto4.2
Teleop4.9
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
24%Activation oddsMissed33%Activation oddsMissed