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Red19
290516.7
902612.7
82097.5
Blue64
601419.7
826315.1
565523.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions514610203040607080901964

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2905
#25
16.73.5
16.212.7
Auto3.8
Teleop7.7
End5.3
blue by 6.7
23.41.5
14.115.6
Auto9.9
Teleop9.5
End4.0
Second
9026
#28
12.73.5
16.112.6
Auto3.3
Teleop2.8
End6.6
blue by 7.1
19.71.5
16.317.8
Auto7.1
Teleop4.1
End8.5
Third
8209
#48
7.53.5
13.29.7
Auto-0.4
Teleop4.2
End3.7
blue by 7.6
8263
#34
15.11.5
15.116.6
Auto4.1
Teleop5.6
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
37%Activation oddsMissed45%Activation oddsEarned