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Red32
698914.5
815918.4
902612.7
Blue40
60258.3
774822.9
290516.7
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions484101020306070803240

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8159
#19
18.41.4
17.616.2
Auto2.5
Teleop9.9
End6.0
blue by 4.4
7748
#13
22.90.5
15.314.8
Auto10.4
Teleop8.6
End3.9
Second
6989
#26
14.51.4
14.312.9
Auto5.1
Teleop2.9
End6.5
blue by 2.2
2905
#25
16.70.5
12.712.2
Auto3.8
Teleop7.7
End5.3
Third
9026
#28
12.71.4
12.611.2
Auto3.3
Teleop2.8
End6.6
red by 4.4
6025
#40
8.30.5
11.411.0
Auto2.3
Teleop1.2
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
32%Activation oddsMissed26%Activation oddsMissed