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Red46
907725.7
641512.9
879814.0
Blue89
728544.5
565523.4
801521.4
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions426602060801001204689

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.70.2
16.616.5
Auto5.3
Teleop10.6
End9.8
blue by 18.8
44.53.3
29.632.9
Auto15.4
Teleop22.6
End6.4
Second
8798
#21
14.00.2
12.011.9
Auto3.2
Teleop5.3
End5.5
blue by 9.4
23.43.3
15.618.9
Auto9.9
Teleop9.5
End4.0
Third
6415
#16
12.90.2
13.813.7
Auto2.0
Teleop6.2
End4.6
blue by 8.6
8015
#24
21.43.3
13.917.2
Auto6.1
Teleop10.5
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
21%Activation oddsEarned44%Activation oddsMissed