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Red91
290516.7
728544.5
641512.9
Blue17
886217.8
880010.8
850015.7
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions664302060801001209117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.52.5
32.935.4
Auto15.4
Teleop22.6
End6.4
red by 26.7
8862
#14
17.83.0
13.510.6
Auto5.7
Teleop8.9
End3.2
Second
2905
#25
16.72.5
12.214.7
Auto3.8
Teleop7.7
End5.3
red by 1.0
8500
#20
15.73.0
17.114.1
Auto4.7
Teleop6.5
End4.5
Third
6415
#16
12.92.5
13.716.1
Auto2.0
Teleop6.2
End4.6
red by 2.1
8800
#36
10.83.0
13.010.1
Auto2.4
Teleop3.7
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
38%Activation oddsEarned26%Activation oddsMissed