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Red51
902612.7
694023.2
807920.0
Blue55
757621.6
907725.7
90299.7
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46480204060801001205155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.20.8
14.515.3
Auto7.2
Teleop8.8
End7.1
blue by 2.5
25.71.1
16.517.6
Auto5.3
Teleop10.6
End9.8
Second
20.00.8
17.918.7
Auto4.5
Teleop6.7
End8.8
blue by 1.6
21.61.1
19.520.6
Auto6.0
Teleop7.5
End8.0
Third
9026
#28
12.70.8
11.212.1
Auto3.3
Teleop2.8
End6.6
red by 3.0
9029
#29
9.71.1
9.210.3
Auto1.5
Teleop4.1
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
33%Activation oddsEarned37%Activation oddsEarned