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Red50
923221.8
907725.7
643011.6
Blue44
923113.6
746611.0
815918.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions483802060801005044

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.71.2
17.616.3
Auto5.3
Teleop10.6
End9.8
red by 7.2
8159
#19
18.40.2
15.315.5
Auto2.5
Teleop9.9
End6.0
Second
9232
#17
21.81.2
17.516.3
Auto7.1
Teleop9.9
End4.8
red by 8.2
9231
#23
13.60.2
11.411.6
Auto3.0
Teleop8.6
End1.9
Third
6430
#35
11.61.2
9.07.8
Auto4.2
Teleop4.9
End2.6
red by 0.7
7466
#31
11.00.2
10.310.5
Auto1.9
Teleop2.3
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
36%Activation oddsMissed12%Activation oddsMissed