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Red82
772912.3
728544.5
926514.2
Blue38
643011.6
817323.2
643111.4
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5637020801008238

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.53.0
37.440.4
Auto15.4
Teleop22.6
End6.4
red by 21.3
8173
#15
23.20.1
17.918.0
Auto9.9
Teleop5.8
End7.5
Second
9265
#27
14.23.0
7.510.4
Auto2.7
Teleop7.5
End4.1
red by 2.6
6430
#35
11.60.1
7.87.9
Auto4.2
Teleop4.9
End2.6
Third
7729
#39
12.33.0
5.58.4
Auto1.4
Teleop7.1
End3.8
red by 0.8
6431
#41
11.40.1
11.611.7
Auto5.0
Teleop3.1
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
30%Activation oddsMissed18%Activation oddsMissed