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Red40
90299.7
76839.4
746611.0
Blue52
879814.0
850015.7
918512.9
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3037010205060704052

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7466
#31
11.00.1
11.411.4
Auto1.9
Teleop2.3
End6.8
blue by 4.8
8500
#20
15.72.0
14.216.2
Auto4.7
Teleop6.5
End4.5
Second
9029
#29
9.70.1
10.410.5
Auto1.5
Teleop4.1
End4.1
blue by 4.3
8798
#21
14.02.0
9.511.5
Auto3.2
Teleop5.3
End5.5
Third
7683
#46
9.40.1
7.67.7
Auto0.5
Teleop3.9
End5.0
blue by 3.5
9185
#37
12.92.0
10.512.5
Auto2.5
Teleop4.6
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
15%Activation oddsMissed25%Activation oddsEarned