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Red56
902612.7
757621.6
601419.7
Blue43
850015.7
923113.6
879619.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions555202040801001201405643

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.60.5
17.416.9
Auto6.0
Teleop7.5
End8.0
red by 1.8
8796
#11
19.80.7
15.514.8
Auto4.8
Teleop8.5
End6.5
Second
19.70.5
16.816.3
Auto7.1
Teleop4.1
End8.5
red by 4.0
8500
#20
15.70.7
16.916.2
Auto4.7
Teleop6.5
End4.5
Third
9026
#28
12.73.5
12.716.1
Auto3.3
Teleop2.8
End6.6
blue by 0.9
9231
#23
13.62.4
13.616.0
Auto3.0
Teleop8.6
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
37%Activation oddsEarned36%Activation oddsMissed