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Red58
645919.6
635314.1
602419.4
Blue90
817323.2
886217.8
923221.8
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55642040801001205890

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6459
#12
19.60.2
19.419.6
Auto4.1
Teleop9.7
End5.8
blue by 3.7
8173
#15
23.20.8
21.822.6
Auto9.9
Teleop5.8
End7.5
Second
6024
#18
19.40.2
19.319.4
Auto6.2
Teleop8.8
End4.4
blue by 2.4
9232
#17
21.80.8
20.421.2
Auto7.1
Teleop9.9
End4.8
Third
6353
#10
14.10.2
13.914.1
Auto1.7
Teleop7.9
End4.5
blue by 3.7
8862
#14
17.80.8
16.417.2
Auto5.7
Teleop8.9
End3.2