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Red66
645919.6
635314.1
602419.4
Blue72
601419.7
757621.6
815918.4
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions566802040801001201406672

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6459
#12
19.60.4
19.819.4
Auto4.1
Teleop9.7
End5.8
blue by 2.0
21.60.2
22.422.3
Auto6.0
Teleop7.5
End8.0
Second
6024
#18
19.40.4
19.719.3
Auto6.2
Teleop8.8
End4.4
blue by 0.3
19.70.2
20.620.4
Auto7.1
Teleop4.1
End8.5
Third
6353
#10
14.10.4
14.313.9
Auto1.7
Teleop7.9
End4.5
blue by 4.4
8159
#19
18.40.2
19.319.1
Auto2.5
Teleop9.9
End6.0