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Red81
561325.8
668214.5
331060.3
Blue74
473425.6
712122.2
908027.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94680501508174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.30.2
50.450.2
Auto14.0
Teleop37.8
End8.4
red by 33.0
9080
#23
27.20.1
25.225.3
Auto5.9
Teleop14.8
End6.6
Second
5613
#16
25.80.2
24.424.2
Auto7.1
Teleop12.8
End5.9
red by 0.2
4734
#21
25.60.1
21.822.0
Auto6.7
Teleop12.2
End6.7
Third
6682
#39
14.50.4
9.79.3
Auto3.5
Teleop6.2
End4.8
blue by 7.7
7121
#29
22.20.1
19.820.0
Auto6.8
Teleop8.4
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
10%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
42%Activation oddsMissed72%Activation oddsMissed