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Red101
851221.9
420649.0
910540.1
Blue63
727118.7
521223.8
415336.2
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10545015010163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.00.7
41.241.9
Auto12.7
Teleop29.8
End6.5
red by 12.8
36.20.9
27.728.6
Auto10.4
Teleop18.4
End7.4
Second
40.10.7
34.134.8
Auto12.2
Teleop20.9
End7.0
red by 16.3
5212
#19
23.80.9
8.39.2
Auto4.2
Teleop13.1
End6.5
Third
8512
#24
21.91.1
15.516.7
Auto3.5
Teleop11.0
End7.5
red by 3.2
7271
#32
18.70.9
13.614.5
Auto5.0
Teleop7.5
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
10%Sustainability oddsEarned10%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
50%Activation oddsMissed39%Activation oddsMissed