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Red67
913630.1
712122.2
348123.7
Blue70
541737.8
367621.2
840813.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71632040801001201406770

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9136
#20
30.10.2
28.928.6
Auto7.6
Teleop15.5
End7.0
blue by 7.7
5417
#12
37.80.7
33.033.6
Auto8.7
Teleop22.7
End6.4
Second
3481
#17
23.70.2
16.716.5
Auto7.4
Teleop8.3
End8.1
red by 2.5
3676
#33
21.20.7
14.815.4
Auto5.4
Teleop10.5
End5.3
Third
7121
#29
22.20.2
20.019.7
Auto6.8
Teleop8.4
End7.0
red by 9.0
8408
#34
13.20.7
12.413.0
Auto1.3
Teleop7.5
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
84%Activation oddsEarned24%Activation oddsMissed