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Red79
521223.8
541737.8
561325.8
Blue126
284836.8
541146.5
727118.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74725060809010011012079126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5417
#12
37.80.8
33.634.4
Auto8.7
Teleop22.7
End6.4
blue by 8.7
46.52.8
32.134.8
Auto11.1
Teleop25.4
End10.0
Second
5613
#16
25.80.8
24.225.0
Auto7.1
Teleop12.8
End5.9
blue by 11.0
36.82.8
22.925.7
Auto11.2
Teleop20.2
End5.4
Third
5212
#19
23.80.8
9.210.0
Auto4.2
Teleop13.1
End6.5
red by 5.1
7271
#32
18.72.8
14.517.2
Auto5.0
Teleop7.5
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
18%Activation oddsEarned23%Activation oddsEarned