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Red33
415336.2
832514.4
668214.5
Blue99
541737.8
617118.1
348123.7
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6064203040507080901003399

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.21.6
28.326.8
Auto10.4
Teleop18.4
End7.4
blue by 1.6
5417
#12
37.82.6
30.533.1
Auto8.7
Teleop22.7
End6.4
Second
6682
#39
14.52.7
14.611.9
Auto3.5
Teleop6.2
End4.8
blue by 9.2
3481
#17
23.72.6
13.816.4
Auto7.4
Teleop8.3
End8.1
Third
8325
#38
14.42.7
14.011.4
Auto4.4
Teleop6.2
End3.9
blue by 3.7
6171
#10
18.12.6
15.418.0
Auto5.3
Teleop7.3
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
64%Activation oddsMissed48%Activation oddsEarned