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Red74
541146.5
697418.9
840813.2
Blue82
425113.3
887421.4
541737.8
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71612040801007482

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.50.1
34.834.8
Auto11.1
Teleop25.4
End10.0
red by 8.7
5417
#12
37.81.6
34.436.0
Auto8.7
Teleop22.7
End6.4
Second
6974
#37
18.90.1
18.218.2
Auto6.5
Teleop9.7
End2.8
blue by 2.4
8874
#14
21.41.6
15.116.7
Auto2.8
Teleop12.6
End5.9
Third
8408
#34
13.20.1
12.112.0
Auto1.3
Teleop7.5
End4.4
blue by 0.1
4251
#27
13.31.6
8.610.2
Auto3.0
Teleop7.4
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
39%Activation oddsMissed13%Activation oddsMissed