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Red105
521223.8
284836.8
636938.1
Blue48
913630.1
471716.5
668214.5
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74532040608010012010548

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.12.2
30.833.0
Auto10.1
Teleop20.6
End7.4
red by 8.0
9136
#20
30.10.3
27.126.8
Auto7.6
Teleop15.5
End7.0
Second
36.82.2
25.727.9
Auto11.2
Teleop20.2
End5.4
red by 20.3
4717
#36
16.50.3
17.016.8
Auto3.0
Teleop7.0
End6.4
Third
5212
#19
23.82.2
10.012.3
Auto4.2
Teleop13.1
End6.5
red by 9.3
6682
#39
14.50.4
7.97.4
Auto3.5
Teleop6.2
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
43%Activation oddsMissed31%Activation oddsMissed