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Red119
586625.1
14857.9
436423.7
Blue125
116424.4
697418.9
331060.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9096050150200119125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
#2
57.91.9
50.852.7
Auto12.6
Teleop35.2
End10.1
blue by 2.4
60.32.0
53.355.3
Auto14.0
Teleop37.8
End8.4
Second
5866
#26
25.11.9
14.416.3
Auto5.8
Teleop10.6
End8.7
red by 0.7
1164
#11
24.42.0
18.020.0
Auto6.8
Teleop11.0
End6.5
Third
4364
#31
23.71.9
20.422.3
Auto8.5
Teleop9.3
End6.0
red by 4.8
6974
#37
18.92.0
18.220.2
Auto6.5
Teleop9.7
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
11%Sustainability oddsEarned16%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
43%Activation oddsMissed58%Activation oddsEarned