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Red133
636938.1
420649.0
712122.2
Blue123
541146.5
406339.6
832514.4
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions106906080100120140160133123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.01.4
43.644.9
Auto12.7
Teleop29.8
End6.5
red by 2.5
46.52.1
34.836.9
Auto11.1
Teleop25.4
End10.0
Second
38.11.4
33.034.4
Auto10.1
Teleop20.6
End7.4
blue by 1.5
4063
#15
39.62.1
39.942.0
Auto7.2
Teleop23.3
End9.1
Third
7121
#29
22.21.4
20.822.2
Auto6.8
Teleop8.4
End7.0
red by 7.8
8325
#38
14.43.5
11.615.1
Auto4.4
Teleop6.2
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsEarned4%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
89%Activation oddsEarned77%Activation oddsEarned