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Red75
697418.9
832514.4
908027.2
Blue90
406339.6
887421.4
420649.0
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5411701001507590

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9080
#23
27.20.0
23.223.1
Auto5.9
Teleop14.8
End6.6
blue by 21.7
49.01.5
44.943.5
Auto12.7
Teleop29.8
End6.5
Second
6974
#37
18.90.0
20.220.2
Auto6.5
Teleop9.7
End2.8
blue by 20.7
4063
#15
39.61.5
42.040.6
Auto7.2
Teleop23.3
End9.1
Third
8325
#38
14.40.1
15.115.1
Auto4.4
Teleop6.2
End3.9
blue by 6.9
8874
#14
21.41.5
14.913.5
Auto2.8
Teleop12.6
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed15%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
28%Activation oddsMissed80%Activation oddsEarned