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Red91
471716.5
116424.4
541737.8
Blue97
406339.6
71259.2
908027.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82816070901001101209197

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5417
#12
37.80.1
39.039.1
Auto8.7
Teleop22.7
End6.4
blue by 1.8
4063
#15
39.60.5
41.841.3
Auto7.2
Teleop23.3
End9.1
Second
1164
#11
24.40.1
21.021.1
Auto6.8
Teleop11.0
End6.5
blue by 2.9
9080
#23
27.20.5
22.822.3
Auto5.9
Teleop14.8
End6.6
Third
4717
#36
16.50.1
17.117.3
Auto3.0
Teleop7.0
End6.4
red by 7.3
7125
#30
9.20.5
11.210.7
Auto3.1
Teleop6.6
End-0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
44%Activation oddsMissed56%Activation oddsMissed