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Red80
436423.7
852823.0
887421.4
Blue131
14857.9
668214.5
541146.5
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5712210015020080131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4364
#31
23.71.2
22.724.0
Auto8.5
Teleop9.3
End6.0
blue by 34.2
148
#2
57.91.6
55.156.8
Auto12.6
Teleop35.2
End10.1
Second
8528
#13
23.01.2
23.725.0
Auto4.0
Teleop12.6
End6.3
blue by 23.5
46.51.6
39.441.0
Auto11.1
Teleop25.4
End10.0
Third
8874
#14
21.41.2
15.016.2
Auto2.8
Teleop12.6
End5.9
red by 6.8
6682
#39
14.52.2
11.814.0
Auto3.5
Teleop6.2
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed35%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
27%Activation oddsEarned55%Activation oddsEarned