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Red128
331060.3
284836.8
425113.3
Blue91
420649.0
832514.4
913630.1
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11496608012014016012891

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.30.9
59.660.5
Auto14.0
Teleop37.8
End8.4
red by 11.3
49.00.8
47.746.9
Auto12.7
Teleop29.8
End6.5
Second
36.80.9
32.933.8
Auto11.2
Teleop20.2
End5.4
red by 6.7
9136
#20
30.10.8
29.328.5
Auto7.6
Teleop15.5
End7.0
Third
4251
#27
13.30.9
12.012.9
Auto3.0
Teleop7.4
End3.0
blue by 1.1
8325
#38
14.40.9
15.314.4
Auto4.4
Teleop6.2
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
30%Sustainability oddsEarned26%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
26%Activation oddsEarned70%Activation oddsMissed