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Red111
473425.6
174549.6
420649.0
Blue104
749223.5
541737.8
910540.1
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions132101406080120140160180111104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.60.9
47.646.7
Auto9.4
Teleop30.2
End10.1
red by 9.6
40.10.3
38.438.8
Auto12.2
Teleop20.9
End7.0
Second
49.00.9
46.946.0
Auto12.7
Teleop29.8
End6.5
red by 11.2
5417
#12
37.80.3
37.037.3
Auto8.7
Teleop22.7
End6.4
Third
4734
#21
25.60.9
25.224.3
Auto6.7
Teleop12.2
End6.7
red by 2.1
7492
#25
23.50.3
23.423.8
Auto5.9
Teleop12.3
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
35%Sustainability oddsEarned8%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
83%Activation oddsEarned35%Activation oddsEarned