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Red122
586625.1
284836.8
636938.1
Blue109
406339.6
887421.4
415336.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10110650150200122109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.10.6
36.537.1
Auto10.1
Teleop20.6
End7.4
blue by 1.5
4063
#15
39.60.2
40.140.3
Auto7.2
Teleop23.3
End9.1
Second
36.80.6
35.235.8
Auto11.2
Teleop20.2
End5.4
red by 0.6
36.20.2
36.736.9
Auto10.4
Teleop18.4
End7.4
Third
5866
#26
25.10.6
23.524.1
Auto5.8
Teleop10.6
End8.7
red by 3.7
8874
#14
21.40.2
21.922.1
Auto2.8
Teleop12.6
End5.9