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Red111
561325.8
541737.8
541146.5
Blue127
521223.8
910540.1
473425.6
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12087406080100140160180111127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.50.1
46.046.1
Auto11.1
Teleop25.4
End10.0
red by 6.4
40.10.9
38.839.7
Auto12.2
Teleop20.9
End7.0
Second
5417
#12
37.80.1
37.337.4
Auto8.7
Teleop22.7
End6.4
red by 12.2
4734
#21
25.60.9
24.325.2
Auto6.7
Teleop12.2
End6.7
Third
5613
#16
25.80.1
25.325.4
Auto7.1
Teleop12.8
End5.9
red by 2.0
5212
#19
23.80.9
22.523.4
Auto4.2
Teleop13.1
End6.5