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Red36
713812.3
302913.6
550321.7
Blue54
635717.7
76219.3
436419.8
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51504045553654

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.71.4
21.720.3
Auto4.1
Teleop8.2
End9.3
red by 1.9
4364
#11
19.80.2
17.918.1
Auto4.0
Teleop11.1
End4.8
Second
3029
#24
13.61.4
11.19.7
Auto1.7
Teleop4.6
End7.3
blue by 4.2
17.70.2
16.316.5
Auto7.3
Teleop4.4
End6.1
Third
7138
#32
12.32.4
14.612.2
Auto2.0
Teleop6.8
End3.5
red by 2.9
7621
#31
9.30.2
12.813.0
Auto1.5
Teleop4.3
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
61%Activation oddsMissed30%Activation oddsEarned