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Red52
808828.4
690126.2
59869.4
Blue31
903417.9
914026.3
4579.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions695401001502002503005231

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8088
#12
28.41.0
27.826.8
Auto10.1
Teleop12.8
End5.4
red by 2.1
26.332.8
47.114.3
Auto6.3
Teleop12.4
End7.6
Second
26.21.0
18.417.3
Auto6.7
Teleop10.9
End8.7
red by 8.3
9034
#29
17.91.4
18.917.5
Auto5.5
Teleop7.1
End5.3
Third
5986
#37
9.41.7
16.314.6
Auto1.9
Teleop2.8
End4.8
red by 0.3
457
#33
9.12.4
17.114.7
Auto1.0
Teleop3.5
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
43%Activation oddsMissed32%Activation oddsMissed