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Red49
862511.6
811422.0
433211.3
Blue51
302913.6
41822.6
903417.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45520204060801004951

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8114
#36
22.00.7
16.317.0
Auto7.4
Teleop8.9
End5.7
blue by 0.7
418
#14
22.60.2
20.820.6
Auto11.0
Teleop6.5
End5.2
Second
8625
#25
11.60.7
12.012.7
Auto4.1
Teleop6.2
End1.3
blue by 6.3
9034
#29
17.90.1
17.417.3
Auto5.5
Teleop7.1
End5.3
Third
4332
#27
11.30.7
14.815.4
Auto0.5
Teleop6.9
End3.9
blue by 2.3
3029
#24
13.60.1
9.59.4
Auto1.7
Teleop4.6
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
24%Activation oddsMissed34%Activation oddsMissed