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Red49
4579.1
258323.8
811422.0
Blue59
436419.8
302913.6
589418.7
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47540204060801004959

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2583
#13
23.80.4
17.818.3
Auto3.6
Teleop13.1
End7.0
red by 3.9
4364
#11
19.80.9
19.118.2
Auto4.0
Teleop11.1
End4.8
Second
8114
#36
22.00.4
17.017.4
Auto7.4
Teleop8.9
End5.7
red by 3.3
5894
#18
18.70.9
21.520.6
Auto2.0
Teleop9.5
End7.2
Third
457
#33
9.10.4
10.310.8
Auto1.0
Teleop3.5
End4.6
blue by 4.4
3029
#24
13.60.5
9.48.9
Auto1.7
Teleop4.6
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
21%Activation oddsMissed45%Activation oddsMissed