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Red28
713812.3
589418.7
59869.4
Blue49
433211.3
550321.7
91219.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41431020305060702849

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5894
#18
18.71.5
18.717.2
Auto2.0
Teleop9.5
End7.2
blue by 3.1
21.70.4
19.819.4
Auto4.1
Teleop8.2
End9.3
Second
7138
#32
12.31.4
9.98.5
Auto2.0
Teleop6.8
End3.5
red by 1.0
4332
#27
11.30.5
12.311.8
Auto0.5
Teleop6.9
End3.9
Third
5986
#37
9.41.4
10.18.7
Auto1.9
Teleop2.8
End4.8
blue by 0.2
9121
#38
9.70.5
7.97.4
Auto0.6
Teleop4.1
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
17%Activation oddsMissed19%Activation oddsMissed