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Red77
61559.3
380236.5
541438.7
Blue93
589234.5
367929.8
882716.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89862040601001201401607793

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.70.3
38.137.8
Auto8.6
Teleop23.3
End6.8
red by 4.1
34.50.0
34.734.7
Auto8.6
Teleop18.3
End7.6
Second
36.50.3
35.835.6
Auto14.0
Teleop13.8
End8.7
red by 6.7
29.80.0
29.929.9
Auto9.9
Teleop9.0
End10.9
Third
6155
#34
9.30.3
9.49.1
Auto3.7
Teleop3.8
End1.8
blue by 6.9
8827
#19
16.10.0
16.316.3
Auto3.4
Teleop6.3
End6.4