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Red100
61559.3
380236.5
541438.7
Blue82
811422.0
41822.6
903417.9
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions926120408010012014010082

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.70.2
37.838.0
Auto8.6
Teleop23.3
End6.8
red by 16.0
418
#14
22.60.4
22.222.6
Auto11.0
Teleop6.5
End5.2
Second
36.50.2
35.635.8
Auto14.0
Teleop13.8
End8.7
red by 14.5
8114
#36
22.00.3
21.622.0
Auto7.4
Teleop8.9
End5.7
Third
6155
#34
9.30.2
9.19.3
Auto3.7
Teleop3.8
End1.8
blue by 8.7
9034
#29
17.90.3
17.617.9
Auto5.5
Teleop7.1
End5.3