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Red88
61559.3
380236.5
541438.7
Blue75
811422.0
41822.6
903417.9
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions92582040801001201408875

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.70.0
37.637.6
Auto8.6
Teleop23.3
End6.8
red by 16.0
418
#14
22.60.3
21.221.5
Auto11.0
Teleop6.5
End5.2
Second
36.50.0
35.435.4
Auto14.0
Teleop13.8
End8.7
red by 14.5
8114
#36
22.00.3
20.620.9
Auto7.4
Teleop8.9
End5.7
Third
6155
#34
9.30.0
9.39.4
Auto3.7
Teleop3.8
End1.8
blue by 8.7
9034
#29
17.90.3
16.616.9
Auto5.5
Teleop7.1
End5.3