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Red123
542746.2
592321.5
11851.0
Blue112
303537.6
859111.2
32436.7
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1298350100150200123112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#1
51.00.2
50.951.0
Auto16.6
Teleop25.5
End8.7
red by 13.5
37.60.6
36.937.6
Auto9.8
Teleop19.2
End8.6
Second
46.20.2
46.146.2
Auto12.6
Teleop26.3
End7.1
red by 9.6
324
#2
36.70.6
36.036.7
Auto9.5
Teleop19.0
End8.2
Third
5923
#16
21.50.2
21.321.5
Auto6.1
Teleop13.0
End2.1
red by 10.3
8591
#35
11.20.6
10.611.2
Auto0.9
Teleop4.6
End5.7