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Red37
928911.2
432815.7
23128.1
Blue25
749215.1
288216.7
505215.4
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6045020801003725

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
231
#5
28.11.9
28.926.9
Auto7.2
Teleop14.0
End7.0
red by 11.5
2882
#11
16.72.1
13.111.0
Auto2.4
Teleop6.3
End8.0
Second
4328
#17
15.71.2
12.811.7
Auto4.6
Teleop6.2
End4.8
red by 0.3
5052
#23
15.41.3
7.76.5
Auto6.2
Teleop3.9
End5.3
Third
9289
#33
11.21.2
12.711.6
Auto0.9
Teleop6.2
End4.1
blue by 3.9
7492
#31
15.12.1
22.920.9
Auto3.2
Teleop7.1
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
22%Activation oddsMissed22%Activation oddsMissed