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Red28
918112.4
857317.8
875010.4
Blue43
837022.9
288216.7
258513.7
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5736020801002843

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8573
#21
17.82.5
19.516.9
Auto5.5
Teleop6.9
End5.5
blue by 5.0
8370
#26
22.90.1
14.414.6
Auto6.5
Teleop10.7
End5.7
Second
9181
#25
12.42.5
15.312.8
Auto1.1
Teleop6.8
End4.5
blue by 4.3
2882
#11
16.70.1
11.011.2
Auto2.4
Teleop6.3
End8.0
Third
8750
#30
10.42.5
16.013.4
Auto0.8
Teleop6.6
End3.0
blue by 3.3
2585
#18
13.70.1
11.211.4
Auto2.5
Teleop5.1
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
30%Activation oddsMissed20%Activation oddsMissed