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Red77
383415.5
749215.1
303537.6
Blue49
582928.7
913627.7
857628.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions725801001502002503007749

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.60.8
27.127.8
Auto9.8
Teleop19.2
End8.6
red by 8.8
28.80.8
18.017.2
Auto9.5
Teleop12.8
End6.5
Second
3834
#20
15.51.3
16.718.0
Auto6.1
Teleop5.2
End4.2
blue by 13.2
28.70.8
21.220.4
Auto11.6
Teleop10.2
End6.9
Third
7492
#31
15.11.3
21.722.9
Auto3.2
Teleop7.1
End4.8
blue by 12.6
9136
#10
27.731.7
47.615.9
Auto8.8
Teleop11.6
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
51%Activation oddsEarned40%Activation oddsMissed