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Red52
463920.7
303537.6
837022.9
Blue75
542746.2
383415.5
711514.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67612040801005275

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.60.7
29.128.4
Auto9.8
Teleop19.2
End8.6
blue by 8.7
46.20.7
31.632.4
Auto12.6
Teleop26.3
End7.1
Second
8370
#26
22.91.2
14.613.4
Auto6.5
Teleop10.7
End5.7
red by 7.4
3834
#20
15.50.7
18.319.1
Auto6.1
Teleop5.2
End4.2
Third
4639
#22
20.71.2
18.717.5
Auto4.0
Teleop11.5
End5.2
red by 6.2
7115
#15
14.50.7
8.49.1
Auto5.1
Teleop4.5
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
36%Activation oddsMissed42%Activation oddsEarned