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Red29
851516.6
25878.2
429520.9
Blue98
664515.3
749215.1
542746.2
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions456602060801001202998

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.91.0
16.815.8
Auto8.7
Teleop5.3
End6.9
blue by 25.4
46.22.1
32.434.5
Auto12.6
Teleop26.3
End7.1
Second
8515
#28
16.61.7
11.39.6
Auto7.2
Teleop6.3
End3.0
red by 1.3
6645
#12
15.32.1
9.211.3
Auto3.5
Teleop8.5
End3.3
Third
2587
#29
8.21.7
16.614.8
Auto2.9
Teleop2.9
End2.4
blue by 6.9
7492
#31
15.12.1
17.519.6
Auto3.2
Teleop7.1
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
27%Activation oddsMissed49%Activation oddsMissed