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Red82
303537.6
258513.7
664515.3
Blue81
741817.8
837022.9
817729.4
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions546502040801001201401608281

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.61.3
28.629.9
Auto9.8
Teleop19.2
End8.6
red by 8.2
8177
#13
29.42.4
27.930.2
Auto7.7
Teleop15.3
End6.4
Second
6645
#12
15.32.2
11.313.5
Auto3.5
Teleop8.5
End3.3
blue by 7.5
8370
#26
22.92.4
15.818.2
Auto6.5
Teleop10.7
End5.7
Third
2585
#18
13.72.2
12.414.6
Auto2.5
Teleop5.1
End6.2
blue by 4.1
7418
#27
17.82.4
16.018.4
Auto6.0
Teleop5.2
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
33%Activation oddsEarned33%Activation oddsEarned