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Red41
463920.7
930712.1
875010.4
Blue79
458718.9
32436.7
429520.9
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions485802040801004179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4639
#22
20.70.6
18.017.4
Auto4.0
Teleop11.5
End5.2
blue by 16.0
324
#2
36.72.3
23.625.9
Auto9.5
Teleop19.0
End8.2
Second
9307
#34
12.10.6
15.114.5
Auto4.4
Teleop4.3
End3.3
blue by 8.8
20.91.4
15.817.2
Auto8.7
Teleop5.3
End6.9
Third
8750
#30
10.40.6
13.312.7
Auto0.8
Teleop6.6
End3.0
blue by 8.5
4587
#14
18.92.3
14.016.3
Auto4.8
Teleop9.8
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
18%Activation oddsMissed43%Activation oddsEarned