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Red52
851516.6
258513.7
592321.5
Blue42
908110.0
741817.8
383415.5
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions465702040801001205242

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5923
#16
21.50.9
16.717.5
Auto6.1
Teleop13.0
End2.1
red by 3.7
7418
#27
17.81.1
18.417.2
Auto6.0
Teleop5.2
End6.6
Second
8515
#28
16.60.9
12.913.8
Auto7.2
Teleop6.3
End3.0
red by 1.2
3834
#20
15.51.1
20.919.7
Auto6.1
Teleop5.2
End4.2
Third
2585
#18
13.70.9
14.615.5
Auto2.5
Teleop5.1
End6.2
red by 3.7
9081
#36
10.01.1
13.011.9
Auto0.1
Teleop5.5
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
20%Activation oddsMissed53%Activation oddsMissed