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Red74
761621.9
25878.2
32436.7
Blue53
857317.8
23128.1
288216.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6766505560707580857453

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
324
#2
36.71.2
28.329.4
Auto9.5
Teleop19.0
End8.2
red by 8.5
231
#5
28.11.5
30.829.4
Auto7.2
Teleop14.0
End7.0
Second
21.91.2
21.422.5
Auto5.4
Teleop8.4
End8.0
red by 4.0
8573
#21
17.81.5
13.912.4
Auto5.5
Teleop6.9
End5.5
Third
2587
#29
8.21.2
13.214.3
Auto2.9
Teleop2.9
End2.4
blue by 8.5
2882
#11
16.71.5
17.616.1
Auto2.4
Teleop6.3
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
58%Activation oddsEarned47%Activation oddsMissed